Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.001767 0.001844 0.001924 0.002014 0.002113 0.002217 0.002338
2025-06-29 0.001617 0.001724 0.001839 0.001974 0.002129 0.002303 0.002516
2025-07-06 0.001522 0.001648 0.001787 0.001957 0.002160 0.002399 0.002709
2025-07-13 0.001416 0.001548 0.001699 0.001885 0.002115 0.002396 0.002774
2025-07-20 0.001362 0.001504 0.001669 0.001878 0.002143 0.002479 0.002953
2025-07-27 0.001327 0.001478 0.001657 0.001890 0.002194 0.002592 0.003183
2025-08-03 0.001285 0.001441 0.001628 0.001876 0.002208 0.002655 0.003349
2025-08-10 0.001260 0.001423 0.001622 0.001891 0.002259 0.002772 0.003608
2025-08-17 0.001227 0.001394 0.001599 0.001881 0.002274 0.002837 0.003795
2025-08-24 0.001193 0.001362 0.001571 0.001861 0.002273 0.002878 0.003945
2025-08-31 0.001185 0.001361 0.001583 0.001897 0.002353 0.003049 0.004352
2025-09-07 0.001167 0.001347 0.001576 0.001904 0.002391 0.003157 0.004664
2025-09-14 0.001138 0.001318 0.001550 0.001885 0.002390 0.003202 0.004870
2025-09-21 0.001108 0.001287 0.001519 0.001857 0.002374 0.003221 0.005024
2025-09-28 0.001085 0.001265 0.001500 0.001845 0.002381 0.003281 0.005284
2025-10-05 0.001046 0.001220 0.001447 0.001782 0.002304 0.003182 0.005153
2025-10-12 0.001028 0.001203 0.001433 0.001776 0.002317 0.003248 0.005439
2025-10-19 0.001018 0.001196 0.001431 0.001787 0.002358 0.003372 0.005910
2025-10-26 0.001000 0.001178 0.001415 0.001775 0.002360 0.003421 0.006192
2025-11-02 0.000992 0.001172 0.001415 0.001788 0.002406 0.003560 0.006796
2025-11-09 0.000977 0.001157 0.001401 0.001779 0.002412 0.003619 0.007178
2025-11-16 0.000960 0.001139 0.001382 0.001761 0.002402 0.003643 0.007451
2025-11-23 0.000958 0.001143 0.001395 0.001793 0.002482 0.003874 0.008638